Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.035097 0.040964 0.047424 0.055055 0.063810 0.073528 0.085119
2025-07-20 0.027473 0.035420 0.044984 0.057292 0.072658 0.091152 0.115034
2025-07-27 0.020966 0.029528 0.040669 0.056119 0.076860 0.103595 0.140498
2025-08-03 0.016675 0.025412 0.037597 0.055638 0.081431 0.116694 0.168203
2025-08-10 0.013209 0.021646 0.034181 0.053873 0.083661 0.126571 0.192453
2025-08-17 0.010718 0.018780 0.031471 0.052510 0.085992 0.136526 0.217615
2025-08-24 0.009070 0.016894 0.029881 0.052480 0.090118 0.149329 0.248119
2025-08-31 0.007529 0.014878 0.027708 0.051091 0.091745 0.158238 0.273290
2025-09-07 0.006835 0.014227 0.027719 0.053322 0.099519 0.177649 0.317113
2025-09-14 0.005953 0.013053 0.026596 0.053338 0.103385 0.190839 0.351741
2025-09-21 0.005049 0.011662 0.024841 0.051906 0.104406 0.199116 0.378567
2025-09-28 0.004382 0.010633 0.023616 0.051283 0.106775 0.209888 0.410645
2025-10-05 0.004117 0.010448 0.024101 0.054181 0.116348 0.234959 0.471534
2025-10-12 0.003790 0.010066 0.024118 0.056123 0.124270 0.257734 0.530355
2025-10-19 0.003261 0.009097 0.022711 0.054846 0.125488 0.267748 0.565778
2025-10-26 0.002860 0.008365 0.021714 0.054314 0.128171 0.280850 0.608370
2025-11-02 0.002444 0.007503 0.020273 0.052559 0.127975 0.288057 0.639743
2025-11-09 0.002111 0.006795 0.019085 0.051213 0.128493 0.296726 0.674795
2025-11-16 0.001887 0.006348 0.018478 0.051177 0.131967 0.311935 0.724784
2025-11-23 0.001635 0.005760 0.017405 0.049817 0.132157 0.319989 0.760107
2025-11-30 0.001553 0.005681 0.017692 0.051994 0.141103 0.348270 0.841958
2025-12-07 0.001399 0.005338 0.017188 0.052009 0.144711 0.364762 0.898918
2025-12-14 0.001218 0.004860 0.016217 0.050610 0.144580 0.372582 0.936862